Why I think the next El Niño will be a Super-El Nino and Occur in 2024-2025: Record Warm Oceans
I chat all about our record warm oceans. Two new and very significant peer reviewed scientific papers just came out in the last week; in early days of 2023.
The first talks about how global OHC (Ocean Heat Content) of the water between the surface and depths of 2000 meters set a new record in 2022, up about 10 ZJ (10**22) Joules. Also, Salinity Contrast (SC) set a new record, as did stratification (layering) of the oceans. More regionally, most of the ocean basins of the planet warmed significantly. Over 90% of the heat captured by Greenhouse Gas Emissions goes into the oceans. A more detailed study shows that 93% of the heat warms the oceans, 3% warms the cryosphere (ice and snow warming and melting) and only 1% of the heat warms the atmosphere (and we humans tend to talk ONLY about our atmospheric and climate (plus weather extreme changes).
The second paper talks about the first paper, and adds the changing OHC of deeper ocean, of heat added to the ocean by the ocean floor, and also by mechanical mixing (for example tides). It also try’s to put todays ocean heating in the context of heating from 1870 to now, from the Little Ice Age period to now (1000 to now), from the Common Era (last 2000 years), and also from the Last Glacial Maximum (around 20,000 years ago, or so).
Warning occurring now in the oceans breaks new records every single year.
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